Orion Group Valuation

ORN Stock  USD 12.88  0.27  2.05%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Orion Group Holdings holds a recent Real Value of $12.56 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $12.88. Our model determines the value of Orion Group Holdings from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 0.02 %, shares outstanding of 39.9 M, and Return On Equity of 0.0632 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Orion Group's valuation include:
Price Book
3.2676
Enterprise Value
592.8 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
11.6056
Price Sales
0.6277
Forward PE
15.456
Overvalued
Today
12.88
Please note that Orion Group's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Orion Group Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Orion Group's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Orion Group is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Orion Stock. However, Orion Group's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  12.88 Real  12.56 Target  13.13 Hype  13.15 Naive  12.96
The intrinsic value of Orion Group's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Orion Group's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
12.56
Real Value
15.84
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Orion Group Holdings helps investors to forecast how Orion stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Orion Group more accurately as focusing exclusively on Orion Group's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.020.010.04
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.8713.1516.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.6812.9616.24
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
11.9413.1214.57
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Orion Group's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Orion Group's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Orion Group's closest peers.

Orion Group Cash

17.53 Million

Orion Revenue by Product

Orion Group Total Value Analysis

Orion Group Holdings is now projected to have company total value of 592.77 M with market capitalization of 524.7 M, debt of 94.46 M, and cash on hands of 28.32 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Orion Group fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
592.77 M
524.7 M
94.46 M
28.32 M

Orion Group Investor Information

About 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Orion Group was now reported as 3.96. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.62. Orion Group Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 40:1 split on the 21st of December 2012. Based on the analysis of Orion Group's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Orion Group Holdings may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average likelihood of going through some form of financial trouble next quarter.

Orion Group Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Orion Group has an asset utilization ratio of 190.84 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $1.91 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Orion Group Holdings is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Orion Group Profitability Analysis

Considering Orion Group's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, Orion Group's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average likelihood of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Orion Group's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2005-03-31
Previous Quarter
841 K
Current Value
3.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
11.4 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Orion Group's Operating Profit Margin is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 4th of February 2026, Gross Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.13, while Gross Profit is likely to drop about 52.5 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.130.1145
Moderately Up
Slightly volatile
For Orion Group profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Orion Group Holdings to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Orion Group utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Orion Group's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Orion Group over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Orion Group Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Orion Group is estimated to be 0.01 with future projections ranging from a low of -0.02 to a high of 0.04. Orion Group's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 0.27. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Orion Group Holdings is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Orion Group is projected to generate 0.01 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Orion Group earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Orion Group EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Orion Group's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Orion Group, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Orion Group Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Orion Group's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Orion Group is estimated to be 0.01 with the future projection ranging from a low of -0.02 to a high of 0.04. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Orion Group Holdings is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
-0.02
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.01
0.04
Highest

Orion Group Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Orion Group's value are higher than the current market price of the Orion Group stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Orion Group is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Orion Group's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
434.89%
0.0
0.01
0.27

Orion Group Ownership Allocation

Orion Group owns a total of 39.9 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Orion Group Holdings outstanding shares are owned by third-party entities. These institutional holders are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to secure positions in Orion Group Holdings to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Orion Group. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Orion Group Holdings as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company maintains, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Orion Group Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 796.39 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.64 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 108.84 M.

About Orion Group Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Orion Group Holdings. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Orion Group Holdings based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Orion Group's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Orion Group's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Orion Group. We calculate exposure to Orion Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Orion Group's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit104.8 M52.5 M
Operating Profit Margin 0.02  0.02 
Gross Profit Margin 0.11  0.13 

Orion Group Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding34.8 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.333
Forward Price Earnings15.456

Orion Group Current Valuation Indicators

Orion Group's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Orion Group's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Orion Group, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Orion Group's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Orion Group's worth.
When determining whether Orion Group Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Orion Group's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Orion Group Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Orion Group Holdings Stock:
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Will Construction & Engineering sector continue expanding? Could Orion diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orion Group. Anticipated expansion of Orion directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Orion Group data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.33)
Earnings Share
0.27
Revenue Per Share
21.221
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Return On Assets
0.0248
Understanding Orion Group Holdings requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Orion's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Orion Group's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Orion Group's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Orion Group's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Orion Group should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Orion Group's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.